Published since 1923
DOI: 10.33622/0869-7019
Russian Science Citation Index (RSCI) на платформе Web of Science


  • BUILDING STRUCTURES, BUILDINGS AND FACILITIES
  • Cross-Phase Risk Assessment System In Construction
  • UDC 69.05:005.334:005.92
    doi: 10.33622/0869-7019.2025.11.66-70
    Yuliya V. KODENTSEVA, kodjul78@mail.ru
    Tatiana V. BOBROVA, bobrova.tv@gmail.com
    Albina B. TSYRULNIKOVA, pab1992@list.ru
    Siberian State Automobile and Highway University (SibADI), prospekt Mira, 5, Omsk 644080, Russian Federation
    Abstract. The article addresses the problem of integrated risk management throughout the entire life cycle of construction projects - from design to decommissioning. Existing approaches are often fragmented, fail to account for industry-specific dynamics, and lack cross-phase analysis of cumulative effects. As a solution, the authors propose a developed system of criteria and tools for risk identification and assessment, integrated with the total cost of ownership concept. The scientific novelty of the work lies in the synthesis of failure mode and effects analysis, fuzzy set theory, and cognitive modeling within the framework of dynamic risk management principles, as well as in the formalization of the objective function and a system of constraints for total cost of ownership minimization considering risks. This has enabled the creation of an adaptive model that considers not only technological but also environmental and social aspects, as well as regional specificities of construction. The practical significance of the system which has demonstrated improved risk identification accuracy, optimized resource allocation, reduced unforeseen incidents, and minimized operational risks. Ultimately, this contributes to the formation of well-founded insurance reserves and enhances the investment attractiveness of projects.
    Keywords: risk management, construction project life cycle, FMEA analysis, fuzzy set theory, cognitive modeling, total cost of ownership, mathematical model
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  • For citation: Kodentseva Yu. V., Bobrova T. V., Tsyrulnikova A. B. Cross-Phase Risk Assessment System in Construction. Promyshlennoye i grazhdanskoye stroitel'stvo [Industrial and Civil Engineering], 2025, no. 11, рp. 66-70. (In Russ.). doi: 10.33622/0869-7019.2025.11.66-70

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